My specialty is in thinking about and, unfortunately, predicting collapse. My method is based on comparison: I watched the Soviet Union collapse, and, since I am also familiar with the details of the situation in the United States, I can make comparisons between these two failed superpowers.
Now he has written about the Five Stages of Collapse. It’s worth a look. [link]
By the mid-90s it was quite clear to me that the US was headed in the same general direction.
He says we’ve been in stage 1 since January this year (2008). Some of the other stages are unavoidable.
In his post Orlov talks about how to realistically prepare for what’s coming.
You can read the whole thing for yourself. [link]